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A
R C H I V E S
Big new
“must fly into” destination is Baghdad International Airport.
Possible sticking point are the uncounted number of mobile,
shoulder-mounted surface-to-air missiles that could be launched
by rebels against an incoming or outbound passenger airliner.
Although many have applied for scheduled service, KLM
starts up flights this September 1st. The first round-trip
KLM flight between Amsterdam and Baghdad will
cost about $1,140, in economy class or about $3,320, in business
class, a hot meal, a movie, and troop patrols on the ground
around the airport included. Now that the USA rules
Iraq, The U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT)
rules the heavens above the besieged nation, handing out permissions
to three airlines in the United States—Northwest, which
is a partner of KLM, and two charter companies to fly to Iraq,
though they still need to get approval from other U.S. federal
agencies including the Federal Aviation Administration
and the Provisional Occupation Authority in Iraq. The
provisional authority also put out a formal call for applications
from airlines around the world and received more than two
dozen responses from North America, Europe and
the Middle East. Airlines were also asked whether they
would be interested in opening commercial service to Basra.
BA said “jolly good,” naturally. Now that Basra, the
ancient city of Iraq, is the latest colonial conquest of the
Brits (didn’t they just get kicked out of Hong Kong?), a new
BA station in a quiet out of the way place might also serve
as the perfect venue to test new agent work rules. At Basra,
BA boss “Hot” Rod Eddington could insist upon enhanced
swipe card use during tea breaks, trips to the lav, between
flights and during missile attacks. Why not? BA tried the
same thing last week at Heathrow and managed to almost
put itself out of business. All of this plays against regular
reports of one or two Americans, or other coalition forces,
and scores of Iraqis, innocent and otherwise, being maimed
and killed daily in that unfortunate country. Two weeks ago,
a C-130 military cargo plane was shot down (July 16) by insurgents
using a surface-to-air missile. General John Abizaid,
commander of American forces in Iraq, told reporters he was
“terrified” as he flew in aboard a C-130 recently. But what
makes the destination so attractive despite the ominous danger,
are the scores of specialists and hundreds of tons of air
cargo that will swarm into Iraq now that the oil is flowing
again. Put in airline terms, Iraq in the near and even distant
future will be “high yield” traffic all the way. Delta
Airlines with no freighters has flown all-cargo flights
with mail and express to Bahrain in overhead bins,
strapped to seats, and up and down the aisles, as well as
jammed in below decks. Delta discovers that it can fly the
consignments and offer even less attention to creature comforts
than it does to passengers. (That’s an old air cargo maxim—sorry
DL). One DL flight, aboard an aircraft that might have been
mothballed without the work, reportedly carried record tonnage
for an airline that saw its last freighter almost forty years
ago and has no plans to add all-cargo lift soon. Delta whose
partner in the world air cargo enterprise is Air France,
can only damn its bad luck. Although the AF Pelican (the single
neatest symbol of air cargo ever adopted by any airline in
the history of our business) is alive and well, and all-cargo,
with a huge fleet of AF B747Fs, the last airline that you
will see carrying anything connected to the American military
into the Iraq war zone is Air France, especially after France
made it a matter of state policy to not support the Iraq War.
Pakistan International Airlines, an ardent supporter
of the war, was one of the first carriers to fly into Kabul.
PIA, is one of the forgotten heroes of Middle East aviation.
Always on the spot and occasionally brilliant, PIA is a top
air cargo operator. Look for PIA to deepen its presence in
post war Iraq, serving as an important air resource as the
country and region rebuilds . . . British Midland wants
a transatlantic code-sharing deal with United Airlines
from London’s Heathrow. BMI wants approval to put its
code on United’s flights from Heathrow to Chicago,
Los Angeles, New York, San Francisco
and Washington, as well as U.S. domestic flights.
United’s code already appears on selected domestic services
in Britain and to the rest of the Europe from Heathrow. The
move will have to be approved by both the UK and the U.S.,
which is seen as no walk in the park. The existing Anglo-American
bilateral air transport treaty restricts services between
Heathrow and selected U.S. cities to two British and two U.S.
airlines, despite more than a decade of talks to resolve the
matter . . .
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Boeing
may be the world’s largest aircraft maker, but it is up its
ying-yang in problems right now, having reported its second
consecutive quarterly loss, while saying it’s certain there
will be no recovery in demand from airlines until 2005. Estimates
for commercial jet deliveries in 2004 are now put at 275 to
290, from a previous forecast of 275 to 300. Boeing said it
had booked firm orders for 90 per cent of 2004 deliveries,
or about 248 aircraft, and was on track to deliver 280 jets
this year. But B757 orders are over. With only an 18 order
backlog unless something happens soon, that airplane series
will come to an end in about 18 months. Boeing workforce will
be at about 60% of the 95,000 people that worked for the planemaker
on September 10, 2001 when another 5,000 people are slashed
next month. That will be right after a day of atonement, or
whatever Boeing CEO Phil Condit is peddling as Boeing’s
remorse for being caught doing some dirty tricks against competitor
Lockheed Martin over the Delta USAF missile
project. Turns out, the allegations say, that a Boeing engineering
big shot hired away a Lockheed Martin engineering whiz to
come to Boeing for big bucks and bring along as many Lockheed
secrets as possible to Boeing. The USAF found out, went nuts,
and now has cancelled any further Boeing military contracts
for the missiles, including taking some contracts away from
Boeing and handing them over to Lockheed Martin. Air Force
says that Boeing is toast until it shows remorse and promises
never to do that again.Thus the Condit led en-masse “stand
down,” for all 78,000 employees left at Boring, er Boeing,
for a day of ethics training this past Wednesday (July 30).
Maybe they’ll all sing some Mr. Rogers songs? Are these people
serious ? Are the lunatics running the asylum at Boeing? The
workers were not the problem here, it was the bosses, stupid.
Maybe the Air Force should find some other contractor to build
its stuff? We put up with the lousy business climate and uneasy,
uncertain future. But if there is one thing that we are sick
and tired of right now, it’s one more story about crooked
bosses, and half-assed cosmetic“fixes.” . . .
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Middle
East air carriers are the hot new aircraft market right
now with sales expected at around $50 billion in the next
15 years, according to Airbus. An estimated 620 planes
will be delivered to the Middle East alone in the next 15
years . . . It’s kind of like the elite amongst the partners,
this GFX deal announced recently between Air France
and Delta. Nowhere is mentioned the other Sky Team
members which may mean either they are choosing up new sides,
or Alitalia Cargo and Korean Air Cargo, can
play one “team,” but not the other? Air France Cargo and Delta
Air Logistics, SkyTeam Cargo member airline are utilizing
Global Freight Exchange, (GF-X), for a whole new menu of some
10 destination on three continents. The point is, you almost
need a score card these days to keep track of who has which
deal, with what airline, or IT provider. Lufthansa Cargo
partners WOW Cargo with several Star Alliance
partners but not United Cargo. KLM is seeking
another alliance partner that may not suit its biggest alliance
partner Northwest. You get the picture. One oft repeated
line one way or another, has finally come true in 2003: “Now
everybody flies everywhere” . . . A three-day Air Cargo
Symposium, hosted by Los Angeles World Airports
was attended by more than 170 representatives from various
other North American airports, airlines, freight forwarders,
and government that gathered to discuss the future of the
air cargo in today’s economy and heightened security. By the
end of the encounter, you might imagine attendees having run
out of different people and subjects to talk to and about,
were either drinking heavily or were exchanging pictures of
their kids. Actually the last day discussed the future regional
air cargo business with new air cargo security and the dramatically
increasing air cargo traffic trends over the next 12 years.
What emerged was a case study of problems and a sales pitch
to possibly quell challenges facing air cargo in Southern
California. The need of finding alternative airports to LAX
to handle air cargo traffic demands has been raised because
of capacity and limitations restrictions. Delegates were told:
“Although it has excellent cargo facilities, LAX will not
be able to handle the forecasted growth.” The so-called “Inland
Empire” airports are one answer to future demands according
to the March GlobalPort, created where the old March
U.S. Air Force base once was. Thus one more former military
site gets lots of money as the locals get all juiced up at
the prospect of getting an air carrier to raise local communities.
Located 60 minutes from LAX and 10 minutes from Riverside,
March GlobalPort told the symposium that it is capable and
ready to handle anticipated demands. Said a representative:
“Both the City of El Segundo and The El Toro Reuse
Planning Authority support March GlobalPort as one of
the best possible alternatives.” Phil Rizzo, the Executive
Director of March Joint Powers Authority, pointed out that
March GlobalPort is ideal for handling Southern California’s
increasing air cargo trends. March does not have any operating
restrictions, is one of the only joint-use military/commercial
airports, allowing for lower landing fees and fueling prices,
and has a runway stretching over 13,000 ft, enabling it to
handle any size aircraft. Mr. Rizzo discussed further how
March GlobalPort avoids the congestion that surrounds Los
Angeles and Ontario and is served by four major
freeways and rail service making it well- suited for transporting
shipments throughout the Western U.S. But international airlines
just beginning to show a pulse may be reluctant to move their
passenger-driven business that also carries vast amounts of
air cargo aboard brilliant combo aircraft such as the B777
(which can move twice the amount of air cargo as the yet to
be built A380 the biggest airplane in the world), will fight
tooth and nail to not fly anywhere else but LAX. The best
candidate for March GlobalPort right away would be an integrator.
FedEx, that utilizes everything that Flying Tigers
ever was at LAX and a lot more, could certainly fill the bill.
In any case the movement has begun to “sell” anywhere else
but LAX to a dubious air cargo community by Inland Empire
gateways, their agents, politicians and other air-minded Southern
Californians . . . Singapore Airlines, on the floor
kicking and screaming as it faces an unprecedented quarterly
loss from what happened to every other airline in the world,
has launched a second round of job cuts. Asia’s largest
airline based on a market value other operators can only dream
about, said it would cut 156 cabin crew - about two per cent
of the total - and more than two dozen pilots, after axing
414 ground staff last month. The bad financial news is not
over either for SQ according to sources. Expect the airline’s
second quarter to also produce another loss. Are we witnessing
another Swissair here? “Not likely” one analyst said.
“Different markets and circumstances. Swissair got cut off
from government funds as part of the privatization surge in
the EU. What happened to Swissair was bad business decisions
such as Sabena and some other business ventures that
went south. SQ, which paid Richard Branson a lot of
money for 49% of Virgin Atlantic, is still well heeled
as airlines go. Singapore Airlines which drives attention,
commerce and worldwide image to a country the size of a postage
stamp (like Switzerland), is considered a vital national resource.”
But clearly for SQ, things will never be the same . . . KLM
lost 54 million euros ($62 million) for its fiscal first quarter,
ended June 30 compared to income of 11 million euros last
year. “Our first-quarter results continue to reinforce the
necessity of structural changes going forward,” said President
and CEO Leo van Wijk. “Traffic demand was weak and
yields dropped. Although the impact on traffic volumes from
the outbreak of SARS is now diminishing, there continues to
be pressure on yield.” KLM cargo nosedived to 14 million euro
from 20 million euro as a 3% rise in RTKs was offset by a
7% drop in yield, resulting in a 4% decline in revenues to
259 million euro. In view of “market circumstances and subsequent
reduced capacity deployment,” KLM said it is speeding up erasing
all its 747-300s so that all seven will be gone by December
. . . Cargo numbers at Denver International Airport
continue to decline. WorldPort, a cargo project at
the airport has been devastated. WorldPort was supposed to
be a $100 million, seven-building air cargo complex at DIA
with 500,000 square feet. So far, two buildings have been
built. The first is occupied, by U.S. Customs while
a second 60,000-square-foot building, is vacant. The idea
was to leverage DIA’s location with a brilliant complex of
high capability inland cargo facilities during a time prior
to 9/11, when elsewhere major American cargo gateways were
busy. Undaunted, the airport says that it will launch a study.
You expected that maybe they would say: “We give up!” . .
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No brainer
of last week was a decision by the U.S. Dept. of Transportation
demanding Administrative Law Judge Ronnie Yoder narrow his investigation
. . U.S. Dept. of Transportation.demanding Administrative
Law Judge Ronnie Yoder narrow his investigation of DHL Airways,
now renamed Astar Airways. DOT ordered that Yoder The Judge
consider only “the current citizenship as it now exists.” Yoder
in the classic American fashion had been a dream judge to the FED/UPS
who are scared silly that Airborne Express on the ground with 15,000
trucks, as DHL in America, will eat the FED/UPS USA monopoly and
actually kick some butt, much in the same fashion that DHL does
everywhere else in the world where they compete head to head. FED/
UPS had been trying to paint DHL ownership as foreign-owned because
of recent purchase by Germany’s Deutsche Post. Except now John Dasburg
owns DHL/Astar Airways, so that settles that. DOT said: “All participants
are reminded that the department has already found that historical
ownership is not relevant to the current citizenship status of DHL.”
Deutsche Post World Net U.S. said it was “pleased” with the DOT
decision . . . U.S. Senate approved a new free trade agreement with
Chile (7/31). The vote is a big step forward in eliminating
trade barriers throughout the Americas. Chile is the first South
American nation to have a free-trade agreement with the United States.
The Senate also approved a similar measure for Singapore.
President Bush rewarding Iraq “Coalition Partners” first, is expected
to sign the two bills into law before the end of August. That move
will bring to six the number of countries enjoying free-trade agreements
with the United States.
Canada and Mexico already
have that status under the North American Free Trade Agreement,
while the United States also has agreements with Israel and
Jordan. More free-trade deals are in the works. The U.S.
is in talks with Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala
and Nicaragua toward establishing a new U.S.-Central
American Free Trade Agreement by year’s end. The administration
also is in talks with the Dominican Republic, to sign a deal
very similar to that reached with Chile. Trade talks with Morocco,
South Africa, Australia and Bahrain are also
being held. Right now, Chile is a small potatoes market for American
products ranking 34th largest export market. Chile in recent years
has seen its business grow with Europe because of a trade pact with
the European Union. The U.S. International Trade Commission,
estimates U.S. exports to Chile could grow by more that 50 percent
when all tariffs are removed by 2016. Singapore on the other hand
is the United States’ 12th largest trading partner, with more than
$30 billion worth of goods and services moving between the two countries
each year. Elsewhere Lan Chile which could expect some benefit
from the new agreement, is back in the black recording a net profit
in the second quarter with net income of $4.1 million as compared
to $9.3 million net loss the same time last year. Lan Chile said
that net income for the first six months of 2003 was $25.7 million
compared to net income of $7.7 million in the year-ago period .
. . Calgary, Canada will host the International
Air Cargo Association (TIACA) cargo show in 2006. Pittsburgh
and Monterrey, Mexico were runners up in the bidding to win
the event. Next Fall, Vitoria Airport in the Basque
country of Spain will host the event . . . China Airlines
Cargo added a new B747 all-cargo aircraft to its line up. Currently
CAL operates 13 B747Fs with 22 weekly services into leading North
American gateway . . . Saudi Arabian Airlines signed a code-sharing
agreement with Gulf Air. The carriers said that they look
forward to cooperation in automation, marketing, scheduling and
frequent flyer programs . . . Reports out of meetings in the Middle
East say that buoyed by better than expected profits has Bahrain-based
Gulf Air ready to launch new flights into the U.S.
and Europe by the end of the year. “Our strong performance
sets the scene for the next phase of our expansion strategy,” Gulf
Air network Vice-President Fareed Al Alawi told reporters.”In
addition to the recently announced resumption of services to Sydney
and Athens, we intend to resume operations to the U.S. and
add still further key destinations in Europe to our network.” Cargo
business is no slouch either reports Farouk Salehjee manager
cargo U.S. “Cargo moved ahead by seven percent systemwide during
July. No question that resumption of direct U.S. services, (Gulf
had served U.S.via JFK International and Houston),
will aid in further cargo growth. But we currently offer a solid
connector service via our service partners and excellent transfer
time through gateway Bahrain to the entire Middle East region
and beyond.” . . . British Airways employees have obviously
seen the handwriting on the wall as “Hot” Rod Eddington the
airline CEO “from hell” as many employees are now saying, and his
senior staff turn the screw even tighter toward more mass layoffs
and total labor control via some swipe cards that BA people are
absolutely ballistic over. How mad is BA labor? Try some passenger
suitcases arriving at destination one week after the flight, making
a vacation a swimsuit must carry on affair. As if that were not
bad enough, this week BA unveils its worst ever first quarter loss.
Pre-tax loss for the quarter to June, is put at as much as $100
million, put off to SARS and the war in Iraq. So expect
more belt tightening and even more wildcat strikes by angry BA staff,
who rcently stranded as many as 80,000 people. . . As reported here,
Lufthansa will bailout Swiss Airlines if a deal can
be struck between the two countries’ politicians. Germany’s Deutsche
Bank would pump in the money needed to prop up the loss-making Swiss
airline, adding about 500 million Swiss francs ($400 million) it
says it needs to survive. In return LH gets 49.9% of Swiss. Stay
tuned . . . The British Airports Authority (BAA) monopoly
may control seven UK airports, and is involved in airports operations
around the world, at places like Pittsburgh, PA, but
to one influential committee BAA should be broken up and put out
of business in its present form. According to the influential government
select committee of transportation, ownership structure of the United
Kingdom’s key airports is “deeply flawed.” For the record BAA owns
London’s three main airports - Heathrow, Gatwick and
Stansted - in addition to Edinburgh, Glasgow
and Aberdeen in Scotland. It also operates the much
smaller Southampton Airport on the south coast of England.
BAA, which as you might inagine was less than thrilled with the
report, said that the committee’s conclusions are “naive and full
of self-contradictions.” The committee report said: “It is ineffective
and inappropriate to have a single private sector operator controlling
such a large part of our aviation infrastructure. In our view, it
would be more appropriate to break up its monopoly.” The committee
which can only make recommendations said that BAA for example is
”hiding behind the government” in failing to take a stand on important
issues affecting the future of the airports, including those controversial
new runways at Heathrow. How an operator such as BAA is perceived
at home by some of its constituents is certainly something to think
about in an age where airport operators such as BAA comb the world
looking to wrest contracts from communities to operate their airports
and airport facilities . . .
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