|
Laura Pullins, President
Cargo Network Services Corp. (CNS) and Head of Cargo The Americas-International
Air Transport Association (IATA), thanked the advisory board and said
her focus will be on the future of CNS.
Dimitrios Jimmy Nares, Section Chief Aviation
Marketing, Miami Dade Aviation Dept, “Miami is at near capacity
and we are currently constructing vertical just like Hong Kong.”
Brandon Fried, The Constant Forwarder, Executive
Director, The Airforwarders Association, declared, “The AFA has
found a congressman in NJ to address a bill to help reduce air cargo congestion
through U.S. airports.”
It has been a time coming. Cathay Cargo
has been a long-time advocate of CNS. Here
is what Tom Owen, Director, Cathay Cargo, based in Hong Kong, the airline
that once upon a time evoked memories of Terry & The Pirates, shared
with the CNS audience
“We kept momentum during the dark
days of Covid, keeping pilots flying with turn arounds and flying with
double crews. The important thing was to keep the network going.
“The freighter network was canceled
overnight. For five long months we were quiet on long haul markets but
we came together. We launched preighters. Kept our planes moving and our
pilots active.
“Speed and creativity were critical.
We focused on vaccines and hubbed pharmaceuticals through HKG, expanding
temperature and sensitive solutions.
“We became flexible and aligned cargo
operations more with passenger.
“Focused on acceleration of digitization
across commercial accounts and boosted analytics and advanced the digital
culture.
“Transformed our culture to focus
on people and encourage their creativity.
“The Covid crisis presented danger
but also an opportunity to bring change and progress.”
Paulos
Ashebir Lakew is Head of Industry Analysis International Air Transport
Association (IATA).
Right at the
gate we get the numbers.
We are all in the room together.
“Global
GDP growth slows to 2.8% in 2023
“Headline
inflation likely peaked in 2022. Pressures on operating costs also peaked
in 2022.
“Labor
markets remain tight with unemployment rate at historic lows."
Well hooray
for three of those!
“Headwinds
continue to challenge air cargo demand. Industrywide CTKS are currently
5.3% below 2019 levels.
“Drivers
of cargo demand remain elevated, while CTKS are down from a strong year
iun 2021.
“Growth
in CTKS was uneven across regions in 2022. North America and Africa carriers
outperformed 2019 CTKS.
“Cargo
demand conserves momentum in 2023. Key market see volumes above or close
to pre-crisis level.
“Global
capacity returned to pre-Covid levels in April driven by the restoration
of belly-hold capacity.
“Yields
are declining but still higher than pre-Covid levels.
“Air
cargo slowdown to moderate in 2023. Yields to decline but remain above
2019 levels.
“Capacity
to grow further with passenger operations. Industry to recover global
passenger traffic in 2024.”
It’s good to be back and get some numbers.
Then Paulos gave his hitlist of the possible
industry key risks: Global Recession, Jet Fuel Price, Trade Wars, Travel
Restrictions, Global Inflation Supply-Demand Imbalances, China Recovery,
Foreign Exchange, Pandemics, Oil Price Volatility, Blocked Funds, Climate,
War in Europe and UNKNOWN UNKNOWNS. Pretty much covers anything and everything!
The most famous of the phrasers to extoll the
virtues of hedging your bet by always including the unknown unknowns was
Donald Rumsfeld, who once served as the youngest ever U.S. Secretary of
Defense (1975-77 under Gerald Ford) and then just for good measure he
came back (2001-2006) and served in President George W. Bush's Cabinet
as the oldest.
“There are known knowns,” Rummie
said. “These are things we know that we know. There are known unknowns.
That is to say, there are things that we know we don't know. But there
are also unknown unknowns. There are things we don't know we don't know.”
|
Some good
advice and smart thinking:
Laura Pullins:
Network positions have long lead times and customer relationships take
a long time and can be destroyed in short times.
Andres Bianchi: We
strive to build for the long term that is relevant. Digitization is one
of our programs.
LP: Digital
means on an old base? What if that gets thrown away and we’ve invested
in a single one?
AB: One
record is something we can build on to make digital progress.
LP: What
about struggles and how do you adjust?
AB: Investing
in design takes a lot of quality time. But getting the right SME into
the design can improve time to market.
If you realize and plan that things will
not always work perfectly. That experience process has a lot of touch
points:
1. Learn to
fail.
2. Learn from
mistakes.
3. Change management
and must communicate why the need for change.
LP: Sustainability
- what are you working on?
AB: For
sustainability we have to address the issues. Fuel is one of these and
the co2 footprint. Plastics are another one of these. We have enabled
our teams to come up with ideas. We are working on that effort and funding
new ideas, even if 6 out of 10 fail.
LP: What
about people development?
AB: We
are very admired in our home market. Since going private some years ago,
we have really brought in a lot of talent and increased female leadership.
The new LATAM leaders are cargo people who used to build pallets or drove
forklifts. We have brought passenger people to cargo and cargo to passenger
to not only spread the talent, but for everyone to have a clearer understanding
of our total brand. |