Vol. 10 No. 117                                                                                                                Wednesday November 23, 2011

Lufthansa Talks Capacity Reduction

Frankfurt—Prepare for the worst and do the utmost to prevent any harm. Lufthansa Cargo leaders might apply that old Mao Zedong strategy soon. “If markets should further deteriorate in the coming months, we’ll react flexibly by taking out capacity on short notice,” announced the carrier’s executive board member and head of sales, Andreas Otto, during a press meeting Monday evening in downtown Frankfurt. Herr Otto spoke of eventually reducing flights by 20 to 25 percent and did not exclude even cutting the fleet by 30 percent. Should this happen, the aircraft will not be sidelined at some U.S. desert airport as occurred during the global financial and economic crisis in 2008/09, but parked in Frankfurt or sent for a major technical check and overhaul to one of Lufthansa Technik’s maintenance shops. “We will probably do both; sidelining two of our freighters for some weeks and sending one or two others to our maintenance facility,” Andreas announced.
      Concerning the operating results during the first three quarters of 2011, LH Cargo declares itself as on the winner’s side, if not best-in-class. The airline posted 173 million euros after nine months, compared to losses of 60 million euros that Air France-KLM-Martinair Cargo announced and a 25 million euros deficit Singapore Airlines Cargo made public. “2011 is going to be one of the best years when it comes to our bottom line,” the manager said.
      Frankfurt’s night flight ban and the re-routing of some freighters via Cologne, which prove to be very costly for LH Cargo, blur this outlook, however. Otto spoke of a “15 million euros profit impact in 2011 resulting from the curfew.”
      If the Federal Administrative Court does not lift the ban, up to 120 trucks per week would be necessary to carry the Frankfurt consolidations to Cologne to fill the night freighters of LH Cargo. Besides the additional traffic on the Autobahns and the noise these road feeders generate, they do also lead to more greenhouse gas emissions compared to air transports. Touching on this topic, Otto spoke of an “ecologically and economically absurd situation.” By quoting DHL’s executive board member, Roger Crook, or Kuehne and Nagel’s CEO, Reinhard Lange, Andreas pointed out “our customers are shocked by the Frankfurt curfew.”
      Concerning next year’s market development, Otto is cautiously optimistic despite some dark clouds hanging in the sky. He expects no real growth during the first half year, but a trade and transport increase of nearly three percent from summer onwards. “So far our customer’s bookings for 2012 are pretty much in line with 2011,” Otto stated.
      Further, he expects airline consolidation processes to accelerate. Be it the recently liaised Qatar and Cargolux, BA-Iberia, United-Continental or Cathay-Air China Cargo—the time for lone fighters seems to be over. The manager pointed out that the Lufthansa Cargo Group consisting of Jade, Aerologic, Swiss, Austrian, SN Brussels, and BMI is the biggest consortium, accounting for ten percent of global revenues spent for air lifts. But all that glitters is not gold said Andreas, pointing at Jade. The Chinese air freight subsidiary remains undercapitalized. “Since Jade’s majority shareholder (51 percent) is now Air China, we don’t know if they consider the cargo airline as a partner or competitor,” stated Otto. To add: “Our aim is to come to a conclusion by year’s end. We really fight for the future of Jade, but do not exclude any option.”
      Touching on the perishable center in Frankfurt that will open up its doors December 6 and commence operations, the manager pointed out that temperature sensitive products like pharmaceuticals, healthcare shipments, and other special items are by far Lufthansa Cargo’s best performing and most profitable products. Since 2006, they keep growing by 15 percent annually. While in 2011, LH Cargo will have flown roughly 48,000 tons of cool products, the amount will grow to over 140,000 tons in 2021, estimates say. The groundbreaking ceremony for the new building happened last July, at a time when nobody imagined that a local court would come up with a sudden decision rigorously forbidding night flights. The facility consists of 4,500 square meters and will offer a variety of different cool zones within the building. LH Cargo will not reveal the price for the Perishable Center prior to its inauguration.
Heiner Siegmund/Flossie

 

South Asian Airports Call For Economic Cooperation

     Even as the heads of state met for the 17th South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) summit in the Maldives, India’s top industrialists’ body has demanded that a conducive atmosphere be created to boost intra-regional economic cooperation, including trade in goods and services and investments. The focus on logistical connectivity between India and its seven south Asian neighbors: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka, is of special interest to the air cargo fraternity in the country.
     The call from Chandrajit Banerjee, Director General of the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII)—the country’s premier business association with leaders who have proved themselves to be visionary industrialists—pointed out that India’s economic growth and the rise of its large middle-class “can have a positive spillover effect on economic opportunities for our South Asian neighbors.”
     While recommending that new areas of economic cooperation have to be found out, the CII has singled out logistical connectivity, along with services, energy and electricity, as areas that the SAARC countries need to look into. Banerjee said that the development of logistics hubs would reduce costs and help in the cross-border movement of goods. These hubs, he said, would have to be multi-modal for movement of both containerized and non-containerized cargo and include air, rail, road and shipping links.
     According to the CII, the corridors of southern India-Bangladesh-Northeast India, Northern India-Nepal-Bhutan-Bangladesh-Northeast India, all other South Asian countries through India to Sri Lanka, and all other South Asian countries via India and Pakistan to Afghanistan can be connected through air and all other links.
Meanwhile, Pakistan, in a rather belated action (according to Prime Minister Dr Manmohan Singh: "I think it is nearly 17 years ago when India gave most favored nation status to Pakistan unilaterally and Pakistan has taken so much time"), has decided to grant MFN (Most Favored Nation) status to India. According to estimates, the potential of trade between the two countries is approximately $6 to $8 billion a year while illegal trade routed through Dubai is estimated to be $3-$4 billion a year. Simply put, CII said that the MFN move can transform the trading environment of the region as a whole. India’s trade with SAARC countries has gone up from $6.9 billion in 2005-06 to $15 billion in 2010-11.
     As for air cargo, Indian airports have a few direct links with the South Asian airports. The present government rules mandate five years of domestic experience and a 20-aircraft fleet before a domestic carrier can fly overseas—even to the South Asian neighbors. Now, carriers like Jet Airways, Kingfisher Airlines and even low-cost carrier SpiceJet fly to Colombo (Sri Lanka) and Kathmandu (Nepal). The quantum of cargo ferried by these flights is negligible. Perhaps, the latest SAARC Summit will help to ease restrictions on trade between neighbors.
     Low-cost carrier Spicejet has made the first moves for direct connections between the SAARC nations and Indian destinations. CEO Neil Mills told FlyingTypers during a recent conversation, “Our concentration will be more on the SAARC nations…but we will also look at the CIS (Confederation of Independent States) countries and we think we will get some opportunities there. We have applied for (permission to fly to) some of those… I don’t want to talk about that since they are just a wish list.” Incidentally, the carrier has permission to fly to Dhaka (Bangaldesh) and Male (Maldives) in addition to Colombo, to which it has a number of flights from Chennai.
     Perhaps, it is in the fitness of things that the central theme of the 17th SAARC summit—building bridges—has been selected as a visionary thought to link the past, present and future of SAARC. In particular, the South Asian Free Trade Area (SAFTA) would be taken forward at the summit. It may be mentioned that around this time last year, transport ministers of the eight SAARC countries met in Delhi to give a major and renewed thrust to trade and economic cooperation among their respective nations. The ministers discussed aviation policy—providing direct flight links to all countries’ capitals, which would enable barrier-free movement of people and freight.
Tirthankar Ghosh

 

 

     Cargolux’s first Boeing-747-8 commercial flight into the U.S. lit up the night at Huntsville International Airport this week.
     “We are excited to see the B747-8 serve Huntsville International Airport,” said Rick Tucker, Executive Director, Huntsville International Airport.
     Looks good to us.

 


Marina Marzani

 

 

Hey Geoffrey,

     I want to wish you and yours a Happy Thanksgiving. I've been retired since 2005 (although I spent four years as an usher part-time in the Concert Hall at the Kennedy Center). Earlier this year my wife and I moved to the Greenville, SC area where we enjoy seeing our eldest daughter and five other grandsons. Can't say I miss the days of getting frantic phone calls of, "Where's my freight!!??" but do think of you often and wish you well.

Fond Regards,
Larry Doak
("The Doakster")
ldoak@att.net

Dear Larry,

     No use denying the pure joy of hearing from an old and treasured friend.
     In many ways, holidays are made all the warmer in the embrace of auld lang syne (as described in the immortal Robert Burns poem).
     You were the dreamer and doer in freight when USAirways morphed from Allegheny and Southern Air discovered air cargo as a new business.
     Later you moved from front line airline cargo development into airport cargo real estate in Pittsburgh, a job that, in retrospect, can be one hell of a tough go anywhere.
     But you were always smart, innovative and fast on your feet—a really great guy, and we hung the moniker of “The Doakster” on you as an endearment; it appeared in these pages often.
     The Kennedy Center is where our daughter (and now Managing Editor) Flossie was honored as one of the best creative writers in America.
     To think that you may have also been in the house that day, before or after just keeps the good feeling going.

Good wishes always, old friend,
Geoffrey


RE: Giving Thanks With Harold

Dear Geoffrey,

     Thanks to FlyingTypers, Atlanta Customs Brokers hosted another roaring success with 390 people at our annual Turkey Fry Open House party last week.
     Next year, November 16 is already slotted for our next Turkey Fry and as usual, everybody is invited.
     Thanks again for making our event a great success.
     Happy Thanksgiving and best wishes for the holidays to everyone.

Harold Hagens
acbiff@atlantacustomsbrokers.com

Editor's Note—Harold is one of the best people we know—a walking encyclopedia who lifts everyone and everybody whilst operating a successful business.
     He served his country in the military for 28 years and today is always on the front line giving back to everyone, teaching his craft at school or serving the air cargo community as a pillar of the Atlanta Air Cargo Association.
     Harold Hagens being in the air cargo business makes us all look good. (Geoffrey)


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     As Thanksgiving 2011 approaches and folks head over the river and through the woods (and full body scanners) to get home, we note that the trail upward is filling rapidly as these devices move into greater use at U.S. and global gateways, with many added all the time.
     No doubt that as air travel continues changing, some people can find something to laugh about.
     FlyingTypers wishes all our readers a safe and happy Thanksgiving and thanks to everyone else, wherever you are reading this issue.
     We take a break and come back Monday November 26.

 

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