Vol. 12 No. 83                        THE GLOBAL AIR CARGO PUBLICATION OF RECORD                    Wednesday September 25, 2013
#INTHEAIREVERYWHERE 
THE AIR CARGO NEWS THOUGHT LEADER  


A lot of airlines are moving to charging for fuel (and security) on chargeable weight and not on gross weight.
We’re talking EK, AF/KL, LH, and many other EU and AS airlines.
For example, EK is starting September 1, and the others from November 6.
     One reaction:
     “I am surprised to hear this because of all the collusion issues with fuel surcharges in the recent world of air cargo.”
     We asked our resident think-tank, Neel Shah, for some insight as to how this situation came about.
     Here are his thoughts:


The move from actual to chargeable for fuel and security is another attempt by the airlines to generate incremental income to make up for base rates that are far below the threshold necessary for the industry to sustain itself in the medium to long run.
     The air cargo industry is currently very undisciplined when it comes to rate structure and the only component that has retained its integrity is the surcharge structure.
     The airlines are taking advantage of this so they can claw back to break even, especially on freighter operations.
     People should also remember that a few airlines have been implementing surcharges on chargeable weight on a regional basis for quite some time, so the practice isn't completely out of the blue.


     As far as collusion goes, I don't believe that talk because the airline industry has always been characterized as one where a leader takes a position and others follow quickly behind.
     This is the way things work on the passenger side on a daily basis, with fares, fees, and policies, so no one should think it will be any different on the cargo side.
     As the industry saw the opportunity to earn a few extra bucks they jumped at the chance and I don't really blame them because most of them are losing money.
     I believe the airlines learned a very painful lesson when it comes to collusion because they probably paid the cumulative industry profits over the past 20 years in fines to the respective regulatory bodies around the world.
     No one wants a repeat of that nightmare!

 

 

 

FlyingTypers recently caught up with Steven J. K. Lee, Chairman of Singapore Aircargo Agents Association and also a senior executive at DHL Global Forwarding. He believes Changi airport will remain a key hub for years to come, despite the slow growth of the last decade.

FlyingTypers:  After a poor 2012, we’re again seeing an avalanche of bad news for air cargo this year. How are agents and forwarders in Singapore coping?
Steven Lee:  The market has been in a downturn for a year and this has created a very competitive environment. Everyone is trying to get whatever business they can, so this is putting downward pressure on prices.
:   What sort of financial pressure is this putting on your members?
:   Well, there haven’t been any defaulters at this moment, whether we’re talking about agents, forwarders, or airlines. The challenge will be the last six months of this year. Everyone can sustain a downturn for one and a half years but there is still no indication of any upsurge. How we finish the final part of this year is very important. My view is if the market continues softer, then it will be a big challenge in 2014.
:   Are you hopeful we’ll see a traditional peak season later in the year?
:   I expect a slow upsurge over September-November as things can’t continue like this. The U.S. looks better than Europe. I think shipper product launches from companies like Microsoft and Samsung coming out later this year for Christmas will help, both to Europe and the US and also intra-Asia.
:   We saw most major air cargo gateways lose volumes last year but Changi remained static, as it has for most of the last decade when others were growing. Are there any markets where you have seen cause for optimism?
:   Japan’s economy is being transformed; currency depreciation is helping exports and that knocks on through Singapore, because some Japanese production is here. China has slowed down on exports but I think there will be a pick-up in momentum from November. There will be some delayed production, which means there will be a catch up for Christmas that could last through to Chinese New Year, so we’re hoping there will be a pick-up through to February. Indonesia is also going well and is one of the fastest growing areas for our members. This is mostly consumer product imports, energy, and oil and gas products. A lot comes through Changi for onward transshipment.
:   Are Changi airport and operators based in Singapore suffering from competition from the Middle East?
:   Of course there is an impact. They have an advantage, they produce their own fuel, so some of our market share has been lost.
:   How has Singapore’s air cargo community been affected by cuts in capacity by SIA?
:   I think freighter capacity has been reduced but this has been compensated for in other areas by more use of wide-body passenger planes. I don’t think they will be increasing freighter capacity in the future. I think one of the reasons is they know the express business will grow due to ecommerce and the use of the internet for shopping through shops like Alibaba. SIA is looking at that market and how best to support express companies.
:   Do you believe Singapore is still competitive on price?
:   It is more expensive for manufacturing here now, but as a strategic location it is still one of the best for hubbing and warehousing. There has been a move up-market by manufacturers due to higher costs. Some shippers are also using ocean, rail, and trucking more. So there has been a modal shift and a shift towards smaller products, which means less volume. The use of rail to Europe is also not positive for air cargo.
:   What does this mean for air cargo agents and Changi?
:   Singapore will continue to diversify and improve infrastructure. But the government is investing in rail and the port to improve connectivity. This is bad for air but forwarders will have to adapt and the Government is encouraging this. They want forwarders and agents to do more than just air freight and have promised to support whatever initiatives are required, such as training, to grow the knowledge base.
:   How have the incentives provided by CAG for freight, such as landing fees and rental rebates, helped the freight sector over the last year?
:   I think that has contributed. CAG is very fair and they are also helping with funding on rentals and incentives for volume growth to forwarders. The Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore supports E-Freight funding. They are also working to enhance the industry and the best way, of course, is to support the forwarders and airlines. This is one of their strengths; they are very supportive. Competition is growing from other hubs, but Changi will continue as a very important airport hub.
SkyKing

 


     Rising Star . . . He’s new to New York himself, but is now fronting a carrier that has served JFK International for 40 years—he’s Reda El Filali, V.P. General Operations and Cargo for Royal Air Maroc.
     Easy-going Reda (32) and some of his new best friends, including Bruce Campbell,CEO (right), of Forward Air, who will deliver his usual, stirring-from-the-ground-up speech will all meet up as The JFK Air Cargo Association holds its monthly meeting this Thursday September 26, 11:45am, at the JFK Hilton Hotel.
     Tickets $40.00 for members, $50.00 for non members and includes lunch and adult beverage.
     Mr. El Filali is part of the “new” Royal Air Maroc Cargo, a fast-rising, newly-tasked airline out to make friends by partnering up with forwarders, shippers, and interline associates, which can see the great advantage the legacy airline enjoys with great connections via CAS to multiple destinations in Europe and absolutely superior cargo-carrying flights into any one of several western Africa destinations.
     “Some flights offer same plane cargo carriage via CAS, offering next day destinations for our cargo product that is the fastest cargo delivery available,” Reda declared.
     Of course, Royal Air Maroc also offers all-cargo B737F service from CAS into BRU, which compliments daily JFK service to and from CAS, rounding out its North American service package with separate flights in and out of Canada to CAS as well.
     Great luncheon, good networking, and good-looking people, including the old cargo pro, M’hammed Chadli, (left) and GSA, the immortal Vince Chabrol, (right) make Thursday at JFK Cargo a winner. Not to be missed!
Geoffrey





     Marek Kasiak, Cargo Director The Americas is excited about the B787s, which offer more positions below deck and more overall uplift than the B767s they replace.
     “The past year has been quite a challenge, but the market again has a pulse and is showing some good movement,” Marek told FlyingTypers.
     “In November we will be adding all-cargo B767s to our New York/Warsaw schedules,” Marek said.
     “We will greet the Christmas rush with increased capability at a time traffic is picking up after an extended down time.
     “Interestingly, where we had been flying all-cargo to ORD, now the scene has shifted to New York (JFK), but no matter.
     “At either gateway we can move consignments quickly to awaiting freighters over the road, from almost anywhere on short notice.
     “By using Warsaw, our uncluttered gateway located in the geographical heart of Europe shippers can take advantage of the seamless excellent connections that are also in place to both middle and eastern European destinations.”
     But we wonder: what about rates?
     “No question that some are vastly undervaluing their offerings and working to kill rates,” Makek said.
     “But we have a strong airline-customer bond, driven by superior service and years of dual experiences in both good times and otherwise.
     “The new aircraft strengthen our offering plus give us the opportunities to open up new business offerings in pharma and perishables to our forwarder partners.
     “Business is back,” Marek declared, “and LOT is ready to open new avenues for air commerce."
Geoffrey/Flossie



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   Up in Hamilton, Ontario, Michael Desnoyers of Hamiltonians for Progressive Development (HPD) said the group’s lengthy and expensive fight against a plan to annex 1,800 hectares into Hamilton Township for the purpose of building an Aerotropolois near the airport is unnecessary and the battle“ has to continue.”
   The Aerotropolis, now re-branded as the Airport Employment Growth District, is the city’s plan to build a giant industrial park in the lands around the Hamilton International Airport.
   The plan has been highly controversial since it was first proposed, with community groups like HPD arguing that the Aerotropolis is completely unnecessary and economically risky, as well as environmentally unacceptable.
   "There's a lot of community support for this," he said. "This battle has been going on since 2005 and we have to continue," Desnoyers told The Hamilton Spectator.
   Fighting an unwanted Aerotropolis is nothing new.
   An effort to build one near Lambert St. Louis International Airport was thwarted in 2011 when citizens of Missouri balked at the planned $350 million in taxpayer monies aviation consultant Michael Webber said would be needed to float the project.
   Meantime in Canada, Hamilton Mayor Bob Bratina told The Spectator that he has "never supported expanding the urban boundary" and still feels "this whole issue is problematic from the long range development point of view."

   It is unclear whether Turkish Cargo created its brand new storage area at the end of the main runway 06/24 at Ataturk International Airport to get to shipments faster, or got the idea while watching a fashion show and put two and two together, but the in-close location for cargo can’t hurt.
   Here celebrating the facility opening on September 18 are Turkish Airlines’ Chairman of the Board Mr. Hamdi Topcu (mid left) with CEO Mr. Temel Kotil (and friends).
   Turkish Cargo flies scheduled all-cargo flights to forty-seven destinations across the globe with nine dedicated cargo aircraft.
   THY also serves 239 destinations with cargo friendly lift.
   By the numbers, the technical features of the new storage area are as follows:
    Total area: 70m x 150m = 10,500m_
    Storage for 333 ULDs (Unit Load Devices) + 1,000m_ for handling mail
    700m_ of cold weather storage space
    Five cold storage spaces; two providing 2Cū-8Cū, two providing 15Cū-25Cū, and one with adjustable temperature settings
    Capacity for 56 ULDs (Unit Load Devices) in cold storage.
    All cold storage backed up by an independent power source.




     The long lines all over America last week to buy the newly-introduced iPhone come as a good sign for air cargo, as autumn heads into holiday 2013.
     “Just the boost air cargo needs—a bit of consumer excitement over the new cell phones announced a couple weeks ago,” said air cargo guru Bill Boesch.
     “Guess the allure and romance of these devices is not over as iPhones can help make every season bright,” he added.
     Fly right, we say.


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     Beetle Mania happened recently during the 2013 Kalahari Desert Speedweek at Hakskeenpan, Northern Cape of South Africa.
     Speedweek has motorsport enthusiasts gathering in a remote desert in the north of the country to drive their vehicles flat out at top speed across seven kilometers of specially prepared clay track.
     Also in the interest of high-speed adventures, a Porsche was once pitted against a B747 in Singapore in a drag race down the runway.
     Who landed in first place?
     Click here or on image above and see for yourself.


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