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      Opened in 1914, the 
                            Panama Canal immediately revolutionized global trade 
                            by allowing ships to move freely between the Pacific 
                            and Atlantic oceans without traversing around the 
                            southern tip of South America. 
                             
                              |  |       On its centenary two years 
                            from now, the Canal will have a similarly profound 
                            impact on international trade options when a third 
                            lane and new locks are completed, enabling some of 
                            the world’s largest vessels to ply its waters.“The Panama Canal 
                            expansion is a game changer that will have a positive 
                            impact on all regions, particularly those with adequate 
                            infrastructure capable of capitalizing on the competitive 
                            advantages provided by larger vessels and economies 
                            of scale,” said Argelis Moreno de Ducreux, Liner 
                            Service Segment Leader at the Panama Canal Authority.
 The expansion is quite 
                            an endeavor—a $5 billion-plus one, in fact. 
                            New locks at either end of the Canal will add a deeper, 
                            wider third shipping lane suitable for ‘post-Panamax’ 
                            ships.
 The current lanes allow 
                            ships up to 20-foot equivalent 5,500-unit (TEU) capacity 
                            to transit. According to shipbuilder Samsung Heavy 
                            Industries, Post-Panamax container vessels of 366m 
                            in length, 48.2m-beam and carrying up to 13,200 TEU 
                            will be able to transit the new locks.
 The impact on bulk carrier 
                            and tanker trades will also be immense. The largest 
                            dry bulker that can transit now is 85,000 deadweight 
                            tonnes dwt. In 2014, this will rise to 180,000 dwt, 
                            which will allow the carriage of 140,000 tonnes of 
                            cargo within the new draft limit.
 The impact of this jump 
                            in vessel size that can transit the Canal will be 
                            far reaching. New ports, inland depots, railways, 
                            and ships are already being built to maximize usage 
                            of the locks.
 “With the expanded 
                            Canal the competitiveness of the route increases, 
                            thus reaching new markets by increasing the Panama 
                            Canal’s area of influence,” said De Ducreux. 
                            “Some cargo may divert from other means of transportation, 
                            but overall, less transportation costs per unit of 
                            cargo and reliability of the service will determine 
                            the real impact of the expansion project.”
 U.S. ports have set 
                            aside almost $9 billion to upgrade their facilities 
                            and deepen channels to receive the larger vessels. 
                            David Host of U.S. shipbroker T. Parker Host said 
                            recently that the U.S would have 285 million tonnes 
                            of export capacity in place by 2015, and more than 
                            300 million tonnes if Gulf midstream operations were 
                            counted.
 West coast ports, which 
                            traditionally receive the bulk of consumer goods shipped 
                            from Asia in containers, will need to up their game 
                            to compete against rivals on the US Gulf and East 
                            coast or risk losing cargo. If they succeed, better, 
                            faster services on the West coast to interior destinations 
                            could impact marginal air trades where shippers are 
                            able to wait a few extra days for delivery.
 Booming demand for coal 
                            and iron ore from China—aided by bargain basement 
                            freight rates—has already seen huge increases 
                            in exports of coal from the U.S. and Colombia and 
                            iron ore from Brazil in recent years.      Once 
                            the new locks open, these suppliers will become even 
                            more competitive in Asian markets in comparison to 
                            alternatives sources, such as Australia and Indonesia.
 “Given the expected 
                            increasing demand in China, in particular, we envision 
                            that coal cargoes from the U.S. and Colombia will 
                            take the most advantage of larger vessels,” 
                            said María Eugenia de Sánchez, Drybulk 
                            Segment Leader at Panama Canal Authority. She added 
                            that iron shipments from northern Brazil and Venezuela 
                            to China were also expected to benefit from increased 
                            Canal capacity.
 Latin America countries 
                            will also see their trade options greatly increase 
                            and costs fall, assuming of course that Canal tolls 
                            do not become too onerous.
 The big question mark 
                            for how far reaching the locks impact will be on global 
                            trade will be the level of tolls. After such a huge 
                            investment, Panama needs to increase its revenue from 
                            the Canal. But in June, the Panama Canal Authority 
                            bowed to pressure from shipping lines and postponed 
                            a raft of new toll increases to give the industry 
                            more “lead time” to prepare for higher 
                            costs.
 Transits of the Panama 
                            Canal by dry bulk carriers totaled 3,285 in fiscal 
                            year 2011, ahead of container ships as the most frequent 
                            user of the Canal by vessel type. However, the container 
                            market segment remains the most important, contributing 
                            more than 50 percent of the tolls and 35 percent of 
                            total cargo.
 SkyKing
 
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