Vol. 9 No. 5                                                              WE COVER THE WORLD                                                 Wednesday January 13, 2010

     Ulrich Ogiermann who has been CEO at Cargolux for the past eight years and now also is giving something back serving as Chairman of The International Air Cargo Association (TIACA), came out of the passenger business.
     But unlike some others Mr. Ogiermann switched over to air cargo, first at Lufthansa where he found an industry fairly well populated with smart, well educated people, so Uli has been moving up the industry corporate ladder ever since.
     Blackberry in hand, this executive seems at this point a freight man for life.
     How the hard-driving Ogiermann got involved and in this tough climate decided to throw himself into lifting TIACA with all that it entails is another story.
     Safe to say what goes around comes around as Cargolux during another time under Robert Arendal was the carrier in air cargo that got behind a fledgling TIACA and where the organization headed to Luxembourg for the first Air Cargo Forum of the modern era in 1994.
     After Luxembourg, TIACA would go to Dubai and fill its coffers becoming a rich powerful organization and the rest as they say is history.
     We continue to follow our tack of “What Will Happen in 2010” with a wide ranging and thoroughly up front and frank discussion up close and personal with Uli about Cargolux, TIACA and air cargo 2010.


FT:   Please describe what kind of year it has been for TIACA as an organization?
UO:  We’ve made tangible progress on several fronts by restructuring the Association to operate more effectively with a new Board and committee structure. TIACA is now set up to focus on the three areas where we feel we can add most value to our membership; industry affairs, education and training, and the Air Cargo Forum.
     I am particularly pleased with progress in the key area of industry affairs. Our Board-approved TIACA positions on issues such as customs best practice and performance standards, aviation security, cargo screening, the Certified Cargo Screening Program (CCSP) in the U.S., the environment, e-freight, Cargo 2000 and modernization of air traffic management systems.
     We now have new and clear policies that we are using, and will continue to use, to advance the interests of the air cargo industry. For example, whilst recognizing the TSA’s requirement for air cargo screening, TIACA is actively pushing the Administration to expedite its evaluation of new technologies to support the pending 100% cargo screening mandate, scheduled to take effect in August 2010.
     Equipment currently certified for use for screening is inadequate and ill suited for processing palletized air cargo. Existing technologies are mostly only appropriate for the passenger-screening environment. New technologies geared towards the air cargo environment and capable of screening at the consolidated level are urgently needed. The availability of such technologies could have a significant impact on how the 100% screening threshold is met.
     We have also expressed strong views on Security Threat Assessments for personnel with unescorted access to air cargo, both in terms of the need for and cost of reapplication and the fact that we believe companies have overpaid for this in the past. We would like to see overpayments refunded to the companies concerned or credited to future STA applications.
     Similarly, we have raised concerns with TSA about the costs likely to be incurred due to the new screening obligations.
     Many TIACA member companies that become certified screeners will need to acquire costly equipment for each certified facility. This is significant, particularly given the current economic downturn, which has reduced air cargo volumes by roughly 25% and threatens the viability of many companies.
     TSA’s decision to allow third party validation of CCSFs could further increase costs and decrease incentives for CCSP participation if it is not carefully implemented. If there are only a few approved third party validators, there would be limited competition, potentially allowing these companies to price their services very aggressively, which in turn might discourage shippers and others in the air cargo supply chain from undergoing CCSF validation. We want to see clear monitoring of pricing on CCSP validation.
     I believe we have a clear direction now and I am confident that our views reflect the best interests of our members. I am pleased that we have welcomed more new members in 2009 from across the globe and, despite the market downturn, already received bookings for over 80% of the exhibition space at our Air Cargo Forum in Amsterdam in November 2010.
     Other initiatives have included our weekly regulatory updates to members as well as new web-based features such as free of charge job postings and news announcements. We have also made excellent progress in building an on-line information bank that helps TIACA members drill down into much greater details on the issues being tackled by our Industry Affairs Committee and we are about to unveil a dramatically revamped and upgraded website that will make this information more accessible to our members.
     We have also ended the year on a strong note by signing a contract with Incheon International Airport, the world’s second largest cargo airport, to host our Forum in 2014. This is in line with our commitment to take the event to major cargo centres around the world.
FT:   What does TIACA feel it has contributed to its membership to assist companies and individual members be able to better deal with new economic realities?
UO:  I think this is a recession that businesses have been forced to deal with in their own way. It has been rapid and hard hitting and I think there is little any association could have done to reduce the pain.
     We have focused more on a mid to long-term approach.
     For example, we were quick to counter a new report on aviation’s impact on the environment. We believed the ‘Aviation & Global Climate Change in the 21st Century’ paper was misleading and based on ‘considerable uncertainty’ of some of the gases used in the measurement process, which increased aviation’s previously assessed contribution to climate change from 3% to 3.5% without cirrus and 4.9% with cirrus.
     We have to challenge such reports because regulators often refer to these in new legislation. We believe the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which estimated that aircraft emitted 2% of man-made CO2, conducted a more accurate assessment in 1999 – a figure it forecast would grow to 3% in 2050. The new report continues to confirm CO2 data that indicates aviation remains 2% of anthropogenic CO2 but the figure is then increased with the added impact of what we regard as ‘uncertain gases.’
     With future changes such as the EU’s Emissions Trading Scheme, how aviation is seen to impact the environment and how legislators try to redress the balance will have a significant and direct impact on airlines’ bottom lines.
     It is often overlooked that the air cargo industry has already made significant advancements in reducing its carbon footprint.
     Similarly, we are being increasingly vocal on the “food miles” concept, which is extremely misleading to the consumer because it does not measure the true carbon footprint of a product through the whole cycle from planting to the market.
     It is clear that by having a strong, well-researched position, we can make a difference. TIACA and individual air cargo operators jointly opposed plans for a nighttime curfew at Burbank Airport in California and the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) subsequently rejected the airport’s application.
     This was a victory for common sense. Strong recognition by the FAA of the value and importance of cargo operations to the local and national economy will, we hope, set a precedent for nighttime cargo services and send a clear message to other airports that may have been considering similar restrictive actions. We hope the same common sense approach will prevail elsewhere, including in Europe where nighttime curfews are also under review.
     Customs and border practices for air cargo also require change in order to facilitate trade and economic growth and to capitalize on air cargo’s key competitive advantage, speed. We have identified a series of changes we would like to see adopted in both developed and developing countries and we will continue to work towards the implementation of these in our discussions with the World Customs Organization.
FT:   Can you discuss in some broad and perhaps specific strokes what the aims and agenda will be at TIACA AMS 2010?
UO:  We are expecting a full exhibition hall and a strong attendance and I think the timing and location are key factors in this. Amsterdam is a major cargo gateway where industry leaders want to go and do business anyway. By combining their visit with attending the Air Cargo Forum they also benefit from the time and cost savings of being able to see so many customers, partners and prospects, together in one place at one time.
     Key initiatives for 2010 are designed to give more value for our ACF exhibitors, sponsors and visitors:
     We aim to attract more forwarders and shippers by adopting a conference theme and sessions that are important to their businesses and streamlining the supply chain.
    We are working with shipper and forwarder groups to help set the conference agenda.

The conference will be more flexible with shorter one-hour breakout sessions addressing key issues during the day.
ACF 2010 will see longer and later exhibition times for the exhibition hall.
There will be only one gala dinner to free up an evening for exhibitors and delegates to organize their own business and social events. The second gala has been substituted with a reception in the exhibition hall which will offer our exhibitors more face time with customers in a more social setting.
 An additional complimentary conference pass for each exhibition space will be available for every exhibitor.

      We are also looking to involve other associations such as IATA, FIATA, AEA and shippers’ groups to make the ACF truly industry-wide.
FT:   How has your term of Presidency impacted TIACA so far?
UO:   I think we have achieved a great deal in terms of streamlining the Association and making it more responsive. Industry Affairs has to be our main focus and we have completed an important step in establishing a clear position on a wide range of subjects. We will now use these to promote the best interests of the air cargo industry.
     When I took over, I said I also wanted the Association to build its membership and awareness with shippers and forwarders. In January, we will be launching free of charge membership to TIACA for shippers to encourage them to become active participants in the Association.
     I’m also pleased to see that we have now formalized collaborative relationships with other trade associations and are looking forward to working together on common objectives in 2010 to advance our industry.
FT:   How difficult has it been to apply your vast experience toward the public good (TIACA) when business is so tough? How have you found the time?
UO:  It is truly a tough call, as the business requires full attention at this very moment. At the same time TIACA needs full focus as well, especially as we are rejuvenating our approach to the most important industry topics and a lot of change is on the way. It is very rewarding to have great colleagues on the Board who make this a real team-effort and one stands in for the other. We have several new members who bring in new experience and fresh momentum. This mix, together with a well-established and experienced team in our organization, is the right recipe to deliver results for our members despite the current challenges of the markets.
FT:   As CEO of a major air cargo resource, what does recent financial news that Luxair is now 52% stockholder in Cargolux mean? What changes? What lies ahead?
UO:  We are grateful to the shareholders who have helped to restructure the capital-base of the company. With their support it has been possible to buy out the liquidator of the defunct Swissair-stake from "SAirlines". This "Portage" (bridging-solution) has temporarily increased the shareholding of some of the shareholders (including Luxair) but the target is to forward this stake again to a new partner. Luxair, as well as the other shareholders have no intention to change the business proposed by management. Luxair will always remain a major shareholder and our provider of state-of-the-art handling services at the airport of Luxembourg.
FT:   If you were given an opportunity to make some sweeping changes in air cargo and there was a short list—what would you do?
UO:  The biggest wish would be to develop a truly rewarding concept of generating "round-trip-cargo," a product that would resemble the passenger product. But there is no such thing and we will have to deal with imbalances and one-way traffic as before. Jokes aside:
     There would be a clear sequence: Firstly, align the security regimes worldwide to facilitate airfreight rather then preventing cargo from being transported. Secondly, make airfreight much more efficient with the implementation of e-freight 3. Big challenge for the years to come: change the image of the industry to being an environmentally-friendly industry that will step-by-step implement modern aircraft that are producing less emissions, less noise and use less fuel. Last but not least: have a greater interaction with shippers to spell out the advantages of airfreight in terms of time to market and capital binding effects of a long transportation chain. Using airfreight is beneficial to a lot of businesses and delivers profitable entries to markets which otherwise are shut!
FT:   Please offer and best/medium/worst case scenario for air cargo in 2010 and beyond. Which do you think will happen and why?
UO:  No one has a crystal ball. My overall judgement is that the markets have reacted too steeply downwards, the current reverse trend will also only be a step towards a new equilibrium. This new level will establish itself somewhere initially down from the figures of 2008 and with a slow, gradual growth as of 2010. We currently do not fully grasp the impact of government spending in the economies worldwide and the effect of stimulus-packages on trade. This means that the current upward trend might again decline somewhat once the immediate effect of those packages is absorbed. Volatility will dominate the coming months and maybe even years. I am a firm believer in long term globalization: this trend will prevail and there are ample opportunities in running global supply chains. Air cargo will again become a good business to be in but there will be changes. A moderate growth form the levels of 2009 will be the expected scenario in 2010. Anything better is best case.
FT:   Often you are able to speak internally to the TIACA membership about various topics and situations. At this time can you share some thoughts about our business; why you are part of it; whether given the chance you would choose this career again, and where you think all of future and us generations must do to insure our future?
UO:  This industry is a challenge in itself due its complexity—a global business which has transformed itself over the years in line with the requirements of global trade and the necessity to build efficient supply chains. The flexilibility required to permanently improve the product offered to our clients keeps us on our toes. I would certainly not like having missed these exciting years of change in the industry. Our industry as well as all others will have to live up to discussions around climate change and controlling emissions to ensure the well-being of future generations. Enviromental care will be an ever more important value and our industry will have to justify the need for transport on an ongoing basis.
     Overall:  aircargo will be strong again after this sharp downfall. Just-in-time concepts will be more important then ever as companies will want to keep low inventory. This policy always has always driven airfreight and is a logical part of it.
     Also time-to-market will be of utmost importance to companies:  the life-cycle of products will not be stable and be extremely shortened with modern technology changing fast. This again requires airfeight.
     The industry will face steep changes:  economies of scale are underdevelopped due to outdated regimes such as ownership-rules. This will have to change under the economic pressures airlines are faced with.
Geoffrey Arend


 

Air Cargo News FlyingTypers leads the way again as the world’s first air cargo publication to connect the industry to the broadly expanding and interactive base for social commentary—Twitter.
     Here are updates from Twitter. To be added to this 24/7/365 service at no-charge contact: acntwitter@aircargonews.com

 

 

 

 

 

January 12:    Ready for monumental delays? Starting in March the main runway at JFK closes for 4 months. Some days JFK will be a single runway operation. Although JFK Port Authority claims dramatic improvement when finished—last year MSP did the same fix and delays were horrific.

January 12:    Cathay Pacific & Dragonair moved 144,000 tons in December- plus 25% over Dec.'08.

January 12:    As Dubai opens world’s tallest building China says it will build world's highest airport in Tibet by 2011 at 14,553 ft 140 miles from Lhasa.January 12 Cathay Pacific & Dragonair moved 144,000 tons in December- plus 25% over Dec.'08.

January 11:    Sign of the Times . . . UPS lays off 1,800 management & administrative positions in small package. 1,100-get separation deal, 700 get no package?

January 11:    Unthinkable . . . Japan Airlines goes bankrupt January 19 under a government-backed restructuring plan that includes 13,000 job cuts. But AA alliance backs bid guaranteeing $2 bil in revenue into JAL over next three years to keep airline in One World.

 

If You Missed Any Of The Previous 3 Issues Of FlyingTypers
Click On Image Below To Access

FT010610

FT011110